The Herd with Colin Cowherd Sharp or Square - SHARP NFL BETS Week 12: Eagles-Cowboys, Bucs-Rams, Vikings-Packers, Colts-Chiefs, Giants-Lions and more
Nov 21, 2025
Dive into NFL Week 12 with expert insights from Chad and Simon as they break down key matchups. They debate the balance of betting on underdogs and explore surprising spreads, including the 49ers and Panthers clash. The hosts tackle quarterback impacts on line movements and dissect the fierce Eagles-Cowboys rivalry. Discover their sharp bets, including Simon's favorite picks and Chad's bold calls on the Saints and Raiders. It's a rollercoaster of betting advice, strategy, and predictions for an action-packed Sunday!
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Episode notes
Manage Large Favorite Spreads
- Bet big favorites only when the matchup and coaching justify the spread and avoid reckless large spreads on the road.
- If uncomfortable with a huge spread, use moneyline round robins or adjusted lines to lower risk.
Back Lions After Road Defeats
- Play the Lions as a double-digit home favorite after a road loss because historical trends favor them in that spot.
- Trust the number when it drops to 10 and use trend-driven conviction on heavy home favorites.
QB News Moves Lines Modestly
- Quarterback availability can shift lines subtly because books price in uncertainty, not just raw ability.
- Joe Burrow's potential return moved Cincinnati lines but only by a couple points due to matchup and unknown readiness.