Askold Khruselnysky, an expert in drone warfare and a close observer of the conflict, shares insights from his time near the front lines in Kyiv. He discusses a groundbreaking fully automated battle, showcasing Ukraine’s innovative drone capabilities. The conversation also delves into the shifting dynamics of regional power as Azerbaijan challenges Russia amid ongoing conflicts. Khruselnysky highlights the morale of soldiers in the face of adversity and the transformative role of technology in modern warfare.
The incident involving the Azerbaijan Airlines plane demonstrates significant regional shifts, as neighboring states challenge Russia's military accountability and influence.
Innovative drone warfare tactics employed by Ukrainian forces indicate a shift towards automation in combat, enhancing effectiveness while minimizing human casualties.
Deep dives
Incident Over Chechnya
A recent tragic incident involving the shooting down of an Azerbaijan Airlines passenger plane by Russian air defenses over Chechnya highlights significant issues within Russian military operations. The plane faced difficulties and was denied permission to land, ultimately crashing in Kazakhstan, resulting in 38 casualties. The Azerbaijani President, Ilham Aliyev, firmly rejected Russian claims attempting to shift blame and insisted that the responsibility lay with the Russian military. This confrontation marks a notable escalation in tensions and points to growing dissatisfaction among Russia’s neighbors regarding its handling of military accountability.
Shifts in Regional Power Dynamics
The incident with the Azerbaijan Airlines plane underscores a significant shift in regional power dynamics, revealing Russia's declining influence over its neighboring states. Azerbaijan's increased oil trade with Russia stands in contrast to its willingness to challenge Moscow over accountability, reflecting a growing assertiveness. Furthermore, neighboring countries like Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan observe this scenario, potentially emboldening them to explore their own diplomatic strategies. These changes represent a significant departure from past Russian dominance and suggest a new era of regional politics where former satellites may no longer feel beholden to Moscow.
Changes in Gas Supply Routes
Ukraine has officially ceased gas exports through its pipeline to Europe, resulting in a significant loss of revenue for both countries amidst the ongoing conflict. The pipeline, which accounted for about 5% of the European Union's gas imports, had been operating despite the war for over three years but has now stopped following the expiration of the transit agreement with Russia's Gazprom. This shift emphasizes Ukraine's strategic decisions and its attempts to limit collaboration with Russia, while also putting pressure on European energy security. The cessation of this supply route highlights the ongoing economic ramifications of the war and Ukraine’s desire for autonomy.
Innovations in Warfare
Recent developments in drone warfare have transformed the Ukrainian military's approach to combat, as illustrated by an automated battle conducted by the Khartiya Brigade. Utilizing both aerial and ground drones, this brigade executed an operation that successfully misled enemy forces and inflicted losses without any Ukrainian casualties. The deployment of robots for various tasks, including laying mines and remote-controlled machine gun operations, indicates a significant technological advancement in modern warfare. Such innovations highlight Ukraine's adaptability and effective use of technology to maintain an edge in the ongoing conflict.
In the first Battleground: Ukraine podcast of 2025, Saul and Patrick speak to friend of the
podcast Askold Khruselnysky, who spent Christmas close the front lines with
a Ukrainian Unit specialising in innovative forms of drone warfare. In his dispatch from Kyiv he describes how this unit was able to successfully launch and carry out an assault with only unmanned vehicles in perhaps the first fully automated battle of the war.
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