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The Macro Trading Floor
Don't Make This Mistake
May 31, 2024
Peter Farac, an experienced money manager specializing in rates and vol markets, joins Alf to discuss the US business cycle, market positioning, and trading strategies. They delve into fiscal and monetary policies, central bank rate decisions, trading strategies, and navigating macro trading views amidst market uncertainties.
28:31
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Quick takeaways
- The US business cycle is in a growth phase due to high deficit levels, leading to favorable equity performance.
- Central banks aim to minimize volatility to support higher asset prices and stimulate economic growth.
Deep dives
US Economy and Federal Reserve Strategy
The US economy is experiencing growth driven by a high deficit level, leading to revenue growth and favorable equity performance. The Federal Reserve's pivot to maintain low rates has decreased volatility in both the rates structure and equities. Despite higher interest rates, interest rate volatility is decreasing. This scenario suggests a potential shift towards trend following or a CTA allocation in rates.
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Discover
highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode