Foreign Policy Live
Geopolitical Risk in a Trump 2.0 World
Nov 15, 2024
Ian Bremmer, president of Eurasia Group and a leading expert in geopolitical risk, dives into the implications of a potential Trump 2.0 presidency. He discusses the shifting dynamics in national security and economic policies, addressing proposed tariffs and energy production shifts. Bremmer analyzes U.S.-China relations, highlighting the impact of Trump's transactional approach. The conversation also tackles ongoing tensions in Ukraine and Iran, exploring the divided strategies within Trump's circle regarding military intervention versus diplomacy.
36:53
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Quick takeaways
- Trump's appointments indicate a shift towards a more aggressive foreign policy, prioritizing loyalty over experience in key national security roles.
- Businesses are bracing for unpredictable geopolitical risks amid anticipated fiscal spending and potential long-term economic impacts from a second Trump administration.
Deep dives
Personnel Choices Indicate a Harder Line in Foreign Policy
The recent appointments to key national security positions suggest a shift towards a more aggressive foreign policy under Trump’s potential second term. Marco Rubio as Secretary of State, Mike Waltz as National Security Advisor, and Elise Stefanik as UN Ambassador indicate loyalty to Trump and a determination to take a firmer stance on issues, particularly concerning China and support for Israel. The selection of Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary, despite lacking managerial experience, further emphasizes Trump’s focus on personality and visibility over traditional qualifications. These appointments signal a geopolitical environment that may prioritize loyalty above experience, potentially leading to increased tensions on the global stage.
