Join former CIA officer Mark Polymeropoulos and Charles Lister from the Middle East Institute as they dissect the intense geopolitical maneuvering in Syria. They discuss how Iran, Turkey, Russia, and Israel are all vying for influence while Syria's future hangs precariously. The guests delve into the evolving U.S. engagement and past policy mistakes, highlight the resurgence of ISIS, and explore the shifting alliances around Kurdish forces. Their insights on this 'great game' reveal a complex web of interests that could shape the region for years to come.
Syria's transition from decades of dictatorship presents both opportunities for newfound freedoms and challenges for international diplomatic efforts.
Multiple nations, including Iran and Turkey, are competing for influence in Syria, complicating the geopolitical landscape and risking escalation of tensions.
Deep dives
The Impact of Recent Changes in Syria
Recent developments in Syria have led to a significant transition as citizens experience newfound freedom after decades of oppressive rule. Following nearly 54 years of dictatorship under the Assad regime, many Syrians are expressing their exhilaration as they openly discuss political matters and envision a different future. However, this transition is occurring rapidly and may not align with the original expectations of international observers, complicating the diplomatic landscape. Ongoing discussions among various groups, including Arab and European states, aim to foster relationships and guide the country towards stability amidst these changes.
The Role of External Actors
International involvement in Syria is growing increasingly complex, with multiple actors vying for influence and control in the wake of the regime's decline. Countries including Turkey, Iran, and Israel are actively pursuing their national interests, which has the potential to escalate tensions and lead to conflicts. The geopolitical dynamics shift, particularly as Turkey aims to curb Kurdish influence while maintaining relations with neighboring states, raising concerns for U.S. interests in the region. The current situation, marked by competing agendas from various nations, highlights the need for coordinated diplomatic efforts to navigate the chaos and strive for a sustainable resolution.
U.S. Response and Strategic Engagement
As Syria undergoes significant changes, the U.S. finds itself at a crossroads, needing to balance diplomatic engagement while protecting its interests. The U.S. has leverage through sanctions that have historically impacted the Syrian economy, which can now be utilized to encourage recovery and development under new governance. Engaging with groups like Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), which seeks to shed its designation as a terrorist organization, presents an opportunity for the U.S. to influence the transitional landscape positively. Yet, the complexities of U.S. foreign policy in the region require a careful approach to avoid repeating past mistakes and ensuring that U.S. involvement contributes to fostering stability in Syria.
Iran, Turkey, Russia, Israel, and the US already working to secure their interests in Syria while the future of the country hangs in the balance. Marc Polymeropoulos and Charles Lister join David Rothkopf to break down what this new “great game” means for the new Syrian government and why this flashpoint is so pivotal.