Megyn Goes Behind-The-Scenes of Her Trump Rally Speech, Plus Key States to Watch, with Henry Olsen | Ep. 935
Nov 5, 2024
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Henry Olsen, a senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center and host of "Beyond the Polls," dives into the significance of key swing states like Georgia and North Carolina for Trump’s 2024 bid. He analyzes shifts in voter turnout, highlighting increased rural participation and the impact on women and black voters. Megyn shares her thrilling experience speaking at Trump’s rally, her evolving perception of him, and anecdotes from backstage. Plus, they discuss the pitfalls of biased polling and what indicators to watch as the election unfolds.
Henry Olsen emphasizes the critical importance of swing states like Georgia and North Carolina in determining Trump's electoral success.
Megyn Kelly shares her personal experiences and reflections from Trump's final Pennsylvania rally, highlighting the strong connection between him and his supporters.
The discussion reveals changing voter dynamics with increased early turnout among Republicans and stagnant female voter engagement in key states.
Deep dives
Importance of Election Day Coverage
The episode emphasizes the significance of Election Day, highlighting the anticipation surrounding the results. It outlines a schedule featuring over 20 guests who will provide instant analysis and reactions to the election outcomes. The host expresses enthusiasm for covering various aspects of the election, including insights from data experts and political analysts. This comprehensive approach is designed to keep listeners informed about the evolving electoral landscape.
Trump's Final Campaign Rally Insights
The speaker shares experiences from attending Donald Trump's final rally in Pennsylvania, capturing the atmosphere and interactions observed during the event. There is a notable sense of nostalgia as Trump reflects on the end of his campaign, suggesting a personal connection to his supporters. Accounts from the rally portray Trump's energetic and engaging style, with an emphasis on his ability to connect with the audience. The mutual appreciation between Trump and his supporters creates an emotionally charged environment.
Polling Predictions and Strategies
Polling expert Henry Olsen shares his predictions for the election, suggesting a close race with Trump gaining significant support in the electoral college. He points out key battleground states, emphasizing the importance of Georgia and North Carolina for Trump's success. Olsen's analysis includes strategic insights into how these states' outcomes could determine the overall election results. He reinforces the notion that election strategies around early voting and demographic shifts will play crucial roles.
Turnout Trends Among Voters
Discussion about early voter turnout reveals shifting dynamics, with Republicans reportedly leading in several key states. The episode delves into early voting statistics, providing insights into how turnout in rural areas may favor Republican candidates. Data suggests that the enthusiasm among Republican voters contrasts with a potential decline in turnout among Democratic voter bases. This trend raises important questions regarding the effectiveness of campaign strategies and outreach efforts related to voter demographics.
Impact of Women Voters
Analysis reveals that while female voters generally outnumber male voters, the anticipated surge attributed to campaign issues has not materialized as expected. Observations from several states, including North Carolina and Georgia, indicate that the female share of early voting has remained largely unchanged. The conversation includes scrutiny of specific polling data that suggests a lack of significant shifts among women voting in key electoral races. This discussion underscores the complexities of interpreting voter sentiment and behaviors leading up to the election.
Expectations and Challenges Ahead
As Election Day unfolds, expectations for voter turnout and results remain high, yet uncertainties linger regarding ballot counting and reporting processes. The episode discusses the challenges presented by mail-in voting and the impact of past experiences on voter confidence. Insights from various guests emphasize the need for patience and vigilance among voters throughout the counting process. The closing sentiments reflect on the potential for civil discourse and the importance of participation in the democratic process.
Megyn Kelly is joined by Henry Olsen, "Beyond the Polls" host, to discuss the key swing states for Trump, why Georgia and North Carolina are so crucial, the effect of women and black voters on the 2024 results, the increased early vote turnout in rural areas and depressed turnout in cities, the key data points to watch tonight that will let us know who will win, biased pollsters in the 2024 election, how and why pollsters got it wrong in the 2016 and 2022 elections, how we'll knows if the pollsters are right in 2024, and more. Then Megyn Kelly discusses behind-the-scenes details from her experience speaking at Trump's final Pennsylvania rally last night, the main points she wanted to get across to Americans about why she is voting for him, what Trump was like backstage,
Megyn Kelly discusses her history with Trump and its recent trajectory and evolution, Oprah's ridiculous comments at Kamala's final rally, and she takes calls from voters on Election Day.
