The Duran Podcast Trump Iran strike on hold... for now
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Jan 15, 2026 Tensions between the US and Iran are heating up, with reports of a potential strike on hold—at least for now. The discussion dives into how close the US came to action, examining troop movements and the fiery rhetoric involved. Trump’s demand for a regime-change guarantee raises the stakes further. Meanwhile, Russia's role in jamming Starlink to curb protests and the geopolitical implications of Elon Musk's technology are explored. The hosts analyze past failures in regime change and highlight critical lessons for Iran's future security.
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Imminent Strike Postponed Not Cancelled
- The US came very close to striking Iran but appears to have postponed the attack rather than cancelled it.
- Patrick Henningsen argues troop movements and flight interruptions signaled an imminent strike that was later delayed.
Russia As Diplomatic And Technical Backstop
- Russia likely intervened diplomatically and technically to blunt the protests and provide an off-ramp for Trump.
- Patrick says Moscow helped jam Starlink and pressured Iran to pause executions, easing immediate escalation.
Connectivity Control Decided The Protests
- Jamming Starlink and tighter internet controls were decisive in quelling protests.
- Patrick and Alexander note Iran lacked the tech itself and likely relied on external powers to disrupt connectivity.