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Morning Wire

2024 Economic Forecast: Perspectives from a Bull & Bear | 1.14.24

Jan 14, 2024
11:15
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Two economic experts discuss their forecasts for the economy in 2024, including a possible recession, a housing market bubble, inflation, and interest rates.
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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Contrasting opinions on the possibility of a recession in 2024, with one expert predicting a softer landing and the other suggesting a potential downturn or recession.
  • Concerns about housing bubbles in certain areas of the country, but overall stability expected in the national housing market in 2024.

Deep dives

Divergent outlooks on the U.S. economy in 2024

In this podcast episode, two market experts provide contrasting views on the direction of the U.S. economy in 2024. Joe LaVornia, a bear in this scenario, expects a sluggish year with job losses and a deteriorating economic landscape. On the other hand, Kenny Pokari, a bull, remains generally optimistic about the economy but cautions about some concerning signs in the first quarter. Both experts discuss the possibility of a recession with differing opinions, with Pokari predicting a softer landing rather than a full-blown recession. LaVornia, however, sees mixed economic signs and suggests a potential downturn or recession. They also discuss the Federal Reserve's potential rate cuts, with Pokari expecting only minor adjustments and LaVornia anticipating both bond yields falling and stock prices declining. The experts also touch on the political implications of rate cuts in an election year, where they discuss potential views of political bias and the Fed's caution in influencing the election.

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