Politics Now Antony Green on the rise of One Nation
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Oct 29, 2025 
Antony Green, a veteran ABC election analyst, dives into the political storm stirred by Pauline Hanson and One Nation. He reveals how Hanson’s stunning entry in 1996 shook the Coalition and discusses the party’s two distinct phases, including its shocking 1998 rise and later revival in 2016. Green analyzes the complexities of preference deals, the internal chaos of One Nation, and current polling that suggests it could threaten Coalition seats. He also speculates on the future of the party and what might happen if Hanson steps down.
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Hanson's Oxley Win Sparked One Nation
- Pauline Hanson first won Oxley in 1996 after being disendorsed by the Liberals and running as an independent.
- That victory exposed a blue-collar electorate shift that later fuelled One Nation's rise.
Two Waves Made One Nation Enduring
- One Nation had two major waves: the 1998 Queensland surge and its re-emergence from 2016.
- The party now sits as a stable right-wing force alongside Labor, Coalition and the Greens.
1998 Campaign Chaos Upended Coalition
- During the 1998 Queensland campaign One Nation trumped coalition messaging with dramatic policy moves.
- That surge left the coalition unable to form government and exposed the party's internal chaos afterward.