Larry Swedroe, Head of Financial and Economic Research at Buckingham Strategic Wealth, discusses the challenges of stock picking with Barry Ritholtz. They explore the pitfalls of trading costs, behavioral biases, and the allure of individual stocks over index funds. They compare successful investors like Warren Buffett to the average retail investor, emphasizing the low odds of consistently picking winning stocks.
Stock picking has historically underperformed due to high-risk choices like penny stocks or bankrupt companies.
Diversified index funds are recommended over individual stock picking for stable returns and reduced risk.
Deep dives
The Challenge of Stock Picking
Stock picking is scrutinized in this episode with Larry Suedro's insights revealing the pitfalls of individual stock choices. Suedro argues that stock pickers often overlook the negative aspects of their investments, preferring high-risk stocks like penny stocks or those in bankruptcy. He cautions against this approach due to the historical underperformance of such stocks and highlights that only a small percentage of stocks contribute to market outperformance. The episode emphasizes the importance of understanding market efficiency and avoiding emotional biases when considering stock picking.
The Futility of Beating the Market
The discussion in the podcast delves into the idea of surpassing the market through stock selection, contrasting it with index investing. Larry Suedro suggests that despite the appeal of high-growth stocks like Netflix and Nvidia, the likelihood of consistently picking winning stocks is low. He advocates for owning a diversified index fund for more stable returns, as trying to beat the market leads to increased risk and volatility. Suedro addresses emotional biases that fuel the belief in individual stock-picking prowess, cautioning against diverting significant assets towards such endeavors.
We know it’s challenging, but should you try your hand at stock picking? It's fun, it gives you something to talk about at parties, but is it profitable? Larry Swedroe, Head of Financial and Economic Research at Buckingham Strategic Wealth, which manages or advises on $70 Billion in client assets, speaks with Barry Ritholtz about the challenges of picking stocks. Only a few people have been successful at it over time, and they have become household names. Most of the rest have not earned their costs.