Big Think

The overpopulation myth, debunked by a data scientist | Hannah Ritchie

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May 12, 2025
Hannah Ritchie, a data scientist at Our World in Data, dives into the myths surrounding overpopulation. She argues that global fertility rates have dramatically decreased, and food production has significantly increased, debunking the fear of resource scarcity. Ritchie also highlights that while some fear overpopulation, many low-income countries have minimal CO₂ emissions per person. She suggests the real issue might be underpopulation in developed nations, where aging populations pose new challenges.
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INSIGHT

Overpopulation Fear Overstated

  • The fear of overpopulation peaked in the 1960s-70s due to food production concerns that proved to be overestimated.
  • Global fertility rates dropped from 5 to 2.3 children per woman, slowing population growth far earlier than expected.
INSIGHT

Agricultural Advances Feed More

  • Technological advances in agriculture have massively increased crop yields in many regions.
  • We now produce more food per person than ever, despite billions more people on Earth.
INSIGHT

Low CO2 in High Fertility Regions

  • High fertility rates remain mostly in low-income countries where per capita CO2 emissions are very low.
  • Adding billions in these regions would hardly impact global emissions significantly.
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