Breakfast with Ryan Huang, Emaad Akhtar and Audrey Siek cover image

Breakfast with Ryan Huang, Emaad Akhtar and Audrey Siek

Bigger Picture: Are corporates in China facing a balance sheet recession?

Aug 18, 2023
Alicia García Herrero, Chief Economist at Natixis, discusses the challenges within China's economy, focusing on the real estate sector and financial factors. They explore the disparity between official data and market conditions, consumer savings sentiment, and the impact of income uncertainty on spending decisions.
08:02

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Discrepancies between official and private data on Chinese real estate prices highlight potential investment risks.
  • Structural issues like population decline and rising debt pose significant challenges to China's economic stability.

Deep dives

Concerns Over Real Estate Sector in China

The podcast delves into concerns surrounding the real estate sector in China, highlighting discrepancies between official figures and actual market conditions. While government data suggests modest declines in new and existing home prices, private data sources reveal steeper drops, particularly in prime neighborhoods like Shanghai and Shenzhen, where existing home prices have plummeted by at least 15%. The episode underscores the significance of these discrepancies and the potential implications for investors amidst the ongoing challenges faced by the property sector.

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