ABC News Daily Trump's shaky ceasefire
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Jun 24, 2025 Jonathan Panikoff, Director of the Scowcroft Middle East Security Initiative at the Atlantic Council, discusses Donald Trump's unexpected ceasefire in the Israel-Iran conflict. He delves into Iran's motivations following recent missile attacks on U.S. bases, questioning the sustainability of peace. The conversation explores Israel's military strategies to counter Iranian threats and the complexities of diplomatic relations. Panikoff emphasizes the fragile nature of the ceasefire and its broader implications for regional stability amid changing global alliances.
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Iran's Calculated Symbolic Attack
- Iran chose a symbolic attack with no casualties to avoid major escalation with the US.
- This was aimed at maintaining regime survival while allowing de-escalation on Iran's terms.
Iran's Regional Power Trio Diminished
- Iran's regional power involves proxies, ballistic missiles, and its nuclear program.
- Israel's recent strikes significantly diminished Iran's capabilities in all three areas.
Israel's Dual Objectives in Conflict
- Israel's main objectives were to weaken Iran's nuclear program and ballistic missile production.
- Israel struck launchers and production sites to slow Iran's missile capabilities.