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Setting Course 2026 Episode 1 | Rob Dannenberg, Former Senior Official, CIA

Jan 10, 2026
In this insightful discussion, Rob Dannenberg, a former senior CIA official with expertise in intelligence and geopolitical analysis, shares his perspectives on the current global landscape. He highlights how the Russian war in Ukraine marks a critical geopolitical inflection point, reshaping international relations. Rob also delves into the implications of the U.S. actions against Venezuela, the changing norms of great power behavior, and the resilience of Ukraine's defense strategies. As he looks ahead to 2026, he emphasizes the key factors that could influence global stability.
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INSIGHT

Ukraine As The Geopolitical Inflection Point

  • Russia's 2020 narrative and Crimea annexation signaled a willingness to use military force to redraw European borders.
  • Putin's invasion of Ukraine created the current geopolitical inflection point that shapes global risk dynamics.
INSIGHT

West Support Determines Ukraine's Outcome

  • Ukraine's resilience depends on sustained U.S. and European support and its battlefield adaptations.
  • If the West stays engaged and Ukraine keeps inflicting casualties, Putin faces real trouble.
INSIGHT

Modern War: Remote Strike And Information Effects

  • Ukraine minimized troop exposure and used drones, signals, and AI to maximize targeting and preserve soldiers.
  • Striking targets inside Russia and inflicting casualties aim to shift Russian domestic tolerance for the war.
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