This Means War SDR Threat Series: Misunderstanding Adversaries and Inconvenient Threats
Dec 4, 2024
In this engaging conversation, Maria de Goeij Reid, a Senior Research Fellow at Oxford University, dives into the complexities of national security. She argues for the importance of strategic empathy in understanding adversaries and emphasizes a shift from 'convenient threats' to 'inconvenient threats' like pandemics. Maria highlights the necessity of nuanced behavioral analysis in understanding adversarial intentions and calls for enhanced societal resilience and interdisciplinary approaches to better prepare for unpredictable global challenges.
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Misunderstanding Adversaries
- Misunderstanding adversaries' behaviors and intentions is a critical threat.
- This includes failing to recognize risks and escalating unnecessarily.
Improving Behavioral Analysis
- Improve behavioral analysis by acknowledging bounded rationality.
- People make decisions based on perceptions, not objective reality.
The Value of Specialists
- Specialist advisors are expensive and require significant experience.
- Analyzing behavior is complex and requires embracing messiness and agility.