The Markets

“Stocks Are Still Very Undervalued”

17 snips
Aug 1, 2025
Anshul Sehgal, Global Co-Head of Fixed Income, Currency and Commodities at Goldman Sachs, shares his insights on the current economic outlook and stock market valuations. He discusses the waiting game for Fed rate cuts and the implications for global assets. Anshul highlights opportunities arising from a rebounding GDP and government spending while addressing challenges like tariffs on earnings. He emphasizes the undervaluation of stocks and confidence in long positions, particularly in sectors driven by AI and robotics.
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INSIGHT

Global Economy Optimism

  • The global economy is optimistic with fiscal expansion in Germany, and credit and fiscal growth in the US and China.
  • Tariffs cause a one-time cost which may impact stocks or consumption temporarily but are outweighed by growth factors.
INSIGHT

Fed's Rate Cut Caution

  • The Fed is cautious about rate cuts despite dissenting opinions advocating immediate easing due to one-time tariff inflation.
  • A soft patch is unlikely in H2, and CapEx growth with deregulation may reduce cutting odds through 2026.
INSIGHT

Dollar Strength and Market Shifts

  • The dollar regained strength after Powell's speech, shifting FX market trends and affecting metals and currencies.
  • Rate cuts priced into the market seem excessive; inflation may rise again due to credit and mortgage growth next year.
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