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The RO Show

Michael Kramer Talks ERP, Risk Free Rates & Markets Ep.39

Jul 9, 2023
01:26:24

Episode 39:

On today's show I speak with Michael Kramer, Founder of MOTT Capital and creator of Reading the Markets, an SA Marketplace Service. Michael has over 25 years of experience as a buy-side trader, analysts and portfolio manager. He focuses on long-only macro themes and trends, looks for long-term thematic growth investments and uses options dta to find unusual activity.

  • Higher for Longer
  • Powell's Message of Data Dependence
  • If Data Indicates Faster Tightening is Warranted, FED Will Increase Pace of Rate Hikes
  • RISING M/M CORE CPI
  • Recent january 2023 Data and Meaning
  • Inflation is Cumulative
  • Cleveland FED - Feb 23 and March 23 Forecasting
  • 3 Ways to Reduce Inflation
  • Labor Market
  • Lower Unemployment Possible?
  • Earnings Compression and Recession 
  • Compressed Margins
  • P/E for S&P 500 and Nasdaq is High
  • Indexes are Most Expensive in Over a Decade
  • Higher Rates Should Lead to Lower PE and Lower Stock Prices
  • Equity Risk Premiums at Narrowest Spread in Over 15 Years
  • Risk Free Rates Breaking Out
  • Bond Yields
  • Earnings Yields
  • Fundamentals Matter
  • CASH is King

 

Visit Michael on his SA Platform: https://seekingalpha.com/author/mott-capital-management

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