In this engaging discussion, Amelia Pollard, a due diligence reporter specializing in private credit, teams up with Christian Davies, the FT's bureau chief covering the electric vehicle industry. They explore the troubling trend of deferred payments among cash-strapped companies and delve into the risks associated with private credit loans. The conversation also highlights exciting advancements in EV charging technology, with Asian battery makers racing to create ultra-fast charging solutions that could transform the market for electric vehicles.
ASML's significant stock drop highlights the semiconductor sector's current volatility and uncertainty about future industry demand.
The rise of payment-in-kind loans in private credit offers cash-strapped companies more flexibility, but poses risks for lenders involved.
Deep dives
Gloomy Semiconductor Outlook
The outlook for semiconductors has taken a downturn, particularly highlighted by Dutch chipmaker ASML, which reported that its orders were only half of investor expectations in the previous quarter. This decline is reflective of broader industry struggles, as companies like Intel and Samsung have also faced significant challenges, leading to a 16% drop in ASML's stock. Investors have reacted accordingly, causing a ripple effect that saw shares of major U.S. chipmakers like NVIDIA and AMD fall by over 4.5%. This situation underscores the ongoing volatility and uncertainty within the semiconductor sector, raising concerns about future demand and industry stability.
Risks of Payment-in-Kind Loans
Payment-in-kind (PIC) loans are gaining traction within the private credit sector, allowing borrowers to defer interest payments rather than paying in cash. This option provides companies facing cash shortages more flexibility in managing their debts, as they can accumulate more debt while retaining cash flow for potential recovery. However, this approach carries significant risks, as the companies borrowing may ultimately be unable to repay the loans, jeopardizing the private credit firms and their investors involved in funding these loans. Given the relative newness of the private credit industry, the long-term implications of these borrowing practices are still being assessed by financial analysts and agencies.
Advancements in EV Charging Technology
The electric vehicle (EV) market faces challenges primarily linked to charging times, but advancements are being made to streamline the process. Companies are in a competitive race to develop charging solutions that mimic the convenience of refueling petrol or diesel cars, with some emerging technologies promising to charge an EV to 80% in as little as 15 minutes. Leading the charge are manufacturers in China, with companies like CATL introducing battery technologies that could enable a kilometer of range per second of charging. However, to meet these ambitious goals, substantial investments in charger networks and electrical infrastructure will be necessary, particularly in Western countries that have yet to match China's infrastructure advancements.
Shares in ASML led a tech rout on Nasdaq on Tuesday after the chipmaker warned of a slower recovery in the semiconductor market, and Goldman Sachs’ quarterly profits jumped 45 per cent to $3bn, boosted by its equity trading business. Asian battery makers are racing to develop new generations of superfast charging for electric vehicles, and a growing list of cash-strapped companies are deferring loan repayments to private credit funds.
The FT News Briefing is produced by Niamh Rowe, Fiona Symon, Sonja Hutson, Kasia Broussalian and Marc Filippino. Additional help from Breen Turner, Sam Giovinco, Peter Barber, Michael Lello, David da Silva and Gavin Kallmann. Our engineer is Joseph Salcedo. Topher Forhecz is the FT’s executive producer. The FT’s global head of audio is Cheryl Brumley. The show’s theme song is by Metaphor Music.