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The current situation in Syria reflects a complex landscape where the Assad regime's military capabilities are significantly weakened, revealing them to be akin to 'paper tigers'. Rebel groups, particularly Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), have matured significantly over the past decade, now exhibiting conventional military tactics which hints at their enhanced capabilities. The rapid loss of strategic towns and villages by the Syrian army demonstrates that while violence has increased, it may not be as severe as it appears since much of the military has retreated. This situation suggests a potential long-term difficulty for the regime in reclaiming lost territory, especially in areas that hold less strategic value to Assad's core interests.