

AI’s reasoning blind spot 6/26/25
Jun 26, 2025
Tech stocks are on the rise, thanks to growing enthusiasm for AI. However, there’s a looming risk that the market might be ignoring. The podcast examines the reasoning limitations of current AI models, especially their struggles with common sense tasks. These shortcomings raise questions about future investments in AI technology. Listeners will gain insight into how these challenges could affect demand for chips and infrastructure, potentially reshaping market trends.
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Limits of AI Reasoning Models
- AI models mimicking reasoning break down when pushed beyond narrow tasks, challenging the promise of true reasoning.
- This limitation poses a major risk to the AI market’s next growth phase and associated tech investments.
Scaling Risk Threatens AI Trade
- If AI reasoning models cannot scale or generalize, investments in compute and infrastructure may not yield productivity.
- This risk echoes last year’s AI progress stall that rattled the tech trade.
Reasoning Is AI’s Next Frontier
- Reasoning is the next frontier in AI beyond chatting or summarizing, aiming for problem solving and decision making.
- However, current models stimulate reasoning but don’t truly understand, limiting progress toward artificial general intelligence (AGI).