26 - Building Conviction by Identifying the Bag Holder
Aug 26, 2021
auto_awesome
Virtu CEO Doug Cifu discusses building conviction in trading by identifying the 'bag holder'. They explore options trading profitability, market mechanics, and the connection between options and stock markets. Learn about selling puts, market maker strategies, and delta hedging.
Building conviction in trading strategies is crucial for successful execution by understanding rationale and strengths/weaknesses.
Options selling can be profitable by capitalizing on overpriced volatility, highlighting the zero-sum game nature and the role of 'bag holders'.
Deep dives
Building Conviction and Strategy Execution
The podcast discusses the importance of building conviction in trading strategies to ensure successful execution. Without belief in the strategy, traders may struggle to maintain discipline and follow through. Conviction involves understanding the rationale behind a strategy, considering both its strengths and weaknesses, and knowing not just why a strategy may fail but also why it should succeed.
Selling Premium and Volatility Risk
The episode delves into selling premium based on the belief that volatility is often overpriced due to market uncertainty. This strategy involves capitalizing on the edge created by overpriced options and aiming for positive expectancy over time. The discussion highlights the zero-sum nature of options trading, emphasizing the role of a 'backholder' – the party at the losing end of certain transactions.
Options Market Dynamics and Equities Interaction
The podcast explores the interconnected nature of options and equities markets, revealing how options trading influences equity market behaviors. Market makers play a key role in hedging options positions, indirectly impacting the buying and selling of shares. The episode's mental model examines how profits and losses in options trading are distributed among market participants, shedding light on the source of premium in the options ecosystem.
1.
Exploring Conviction in Trading and the Role of the 'Bag Holder'
Have you ever wondered why how options selling can be profitable long term? Aren't options a zero sum game? If some traders are consistently winning, who is consistently losing? Who is the proverbial bag holder?
-Listen to "Virtu CEO Doug Cifu Explains the Future of HFT" at https://www.bloomberg.com/news/audio/2021-03-28/virtu-ceo-doug-cifu-explains-the-future-of-hft-podcast
-Visit my trading page to view strategy mechanics, tradelogs and more at TheTradeBusters.com.
-Follow me on Twitter @TheTradeBuster
**Everything discussed on this podcast is for informational purposes only and not to be construed as financial advice.
Get the Snipd podcast app
Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode
Save any moment
Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways
Share & Export
Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode