The Dividend Cafe

Tuesday - July 8, 2025

5 snips
Jul 8, 2025
Markets reacted negatively to the passage of the Triple B bill, leading to a noticeable downturn despite prior expectations. Tariff discussions remain hot topics, while important economic indicators show declines in business optimism and inflation forecasts. The resilience of the US macroeconomy is highlighted, particularly as the Q2 earnings season approaches. Additionally, insights on Jerome Powell's role in shaping interest rate decisions add depth to the conversation about future economic trends.
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INSIGHT

Markets Price in News Early

  • The market sell-off after the Triple B bill passage shows markets price news in advance.
  • "Buy the rumor, sell the news" behavior explains the recent market decline.
INSIGHT

Market Stability Amid Tariff Talks

  • Markets showed little movement despite tariff talks and deadline extensions.
  • The Dow and S&P 500 dipped slightly; NASDAQ and Treasury yields stayed steady.
INSIGHT

Inflation and Small Business Sentiment

  • Inflation expectations slightly declined in June according to New York Fed survey.
  • Small business optimism slipped marginally but remains near long-term averages.
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