Immediate Changes in U.S.-European Relations

The Trump administration is likely to prioritize an expedited negotiation process to end the war in Ukraine, claiming a commitment to resolve the conflict within a very short time frame. This shift could create significant tensions within transatlantic relations, especially for countries like Poland, which must navigate their allegiance to both the U.S. and the reluctance to negotiate with Russia. Additionally, a renewed trade conflict is anticipated as the Trump administration plans to impose tariffs on China and other nations, prompting a potential European response in the form of retaliatory tariffs. Such economic maneuvers signify a dramatic shift in how trade and military negotiations are conducted between the U.S. and its European allies.