Ken McElroy Show

The Fed Is Focused On The Wrong Problem

Jan 16, 2026
Ken and Danille explore a transformative shift in the job market, revealing how rising unemployment is giving back leverage to employers. They discuss the impact of high interest rates on job openings, construction slowdown, and wage stagnation. The duo delves into the post-COVID hiring landscape, postulating that remote work flexibility is diminishing as competition intensifies. They also highlight the contrasting dynamics between white-collar surplus and blue-collar shortages, providing practical advice for navigating these economic changes.
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INSIGHT

Labor Market Power Reversed

  • For the first time in years there are more job seekers than jobs, reversing the recent labor-market power shift to employees.
  • This restores employer leverage and reduces the job-market advantages employees enjoyed post-pandemic.
ANECDOTE

When Employees Could Demand Big Raises

  • Danille and Ken describe hiring stories where short-tenure hires demanded huge raises and frequent job-hopping became common after 2018.
  • They say employers previously had to hire job-hoppers because candidates were scarce and turnover was high.
INSIGHT

Job-Openings History Shows Cycles

  • The hosts trace major shifts around the 2007–2008 crisis, a 2018 crossover, and a 2021 spike when job openings far exceeded seekers.
  • Those bubbles reflect economic cycles, pandemic effects, and employer/employee leverage changes.
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