Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart SPECIAL REPORT: Is The US At Risk Of War With Iran? | Ryan Bohl, RANE
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Jan 15, 2026 
Ryan Bohl, a Mideast analyst at RANE, provides an incisive look at the current turmoil in Iran, fueled by economic collapse and political strife. He discusses the scale of protests, highlighting their significance compared to past uprisings. Bohl addresses U.S. foreign policy, including Trump's conditional support for protesters and potential tariffs. The conversation delves into public sentiment within Iran, examining the generational divide and aspirations for reform. Bohl concludes with insights on the complex dynamics of regime change and the region's stability.
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Protests Large But Currently Suppressed
- The 2026 Iran protests were large but have largely been suppressed and not decisive yet.
- The Islamic Republic remains firmly in control with no cities fallen or elite defections, Ryan Bohl on on-the-ground status.
U.S. Can Strike Quickly, Bigger Ops Need Buildup
- The U.S. has military assets in the region that allow limited strikes at short notice.
- A larger operation would require carrier arrival and visible buildup, Ryan Bohl on U.S. posture.
Protest Size Comparable To 2009 Green Movement
- Participation matched the scale of Iran's 2009 Green Movement and may have involved 1–5% of the population.
- Large turnout doesn't guarantee regime change, as past major protests failed, Ryan Bohl on protest scale.