

FedEx Jumps; Lennar Lower; Intel Downgrade
Sep 19, 2025
FedEx is soaring after reinstating its profit forecast, despite predicting a $1 billion hit from trade volatility. In contrast, Lennar’s shares are down due to disappointing home order forecasts driven by affordability issues. Meanwhile, Intel faces a downgrade from Citigroup as analysts question its stock valuation, despite a recent boost from Nvidia's $5 billion investment. The market's mixed reactions highlight the delicate balance between optimistic forecasts and harsh economic realities.
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FedEx Reinstates Guidance Amid Trade Headwinds
- FedEx reinstated revenue and profit guidance despite a projected $1 billion hit from trade volatility and lost low‑value exemption.
- The company sees revenue growing 4%–6% in the fiscal year, signaling resilience as an economic bellwether.
Tariffs And De Minimis Rule Hurt Shipments
- Trade measures and the loss of the de minimis exemption will cost FedEx about $1 billion, with $300 million tied to higher customs costs for China‑U.S. shipments.
- That headwind contrasts with the restored outlook, showing operational resilience amid tariff pressures.
Lennar Shows Housing Market Normalizing
- Lennar missed quarterly home order forecasts as affordability concerns and a shaky job market kept buyers sidelined.
- Builders now face stronger resale competition and early price normalization in hot Sun Belt markets.