The ACID Capitalist Podcast

The Quantum Crisis: Gold, China, and the Trust Deficit in Markets

13 snips
Oct 24, 2025
Dive into the captivating world of macro analysis as market shifts come alive! Explore the implications of China's gold rush and how it hints at a yuan debasement. Discover the surprising resilience of Kansas manufacturing amid fluctuating U.S. home sales. Hear about hidden liquidity risks and the quirky performance of extreme stock movers. The pulse of global finance whispers of transformations ahead, influenced by the U.S.'s competitive edges and changing treasury dynamics. Get ready for the financial waves that are just beginning to crest!
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INSIGHT

Housing Stuck By Legacy 3% Mortgages

  • Existing home sales are stuck around 4 million units because many homeowners hold legacy ~3% mortgages and refuse to move.
  • A big drop in market rates would trigger refinancing and a surge in housing activity that is currently suppressed.
INSIGHT

Regional Manufacturing Can Diverge Sharply

  • The Kansas City Fed manufacturing index jumped into strong expansion while national PMIs lagged, showing local pockets of strength.
  • Regional data can diverge meaningfully from national snapshots and matter for stock moves.
ADVICE

Use Z-Scores To Find Market Breakouts

  • Use Z-scores to spot truly unusual daily price moves and investigate their causes.
  • Focus on 3-sigma moves because they reveal structural shifts or rare catalysts worth researching.
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