Investing Experts Why J Mintzmyer is short Walmart and long 3 shipping stocks
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May 13, 2025 J Mintzmyer, a shipping expert and founder of Value Investor's Edge, dives into the turbulent shipping sector. He discusses significant supply chain disruptions affecting the industry and shares his favorite tanker stocks. Mintzmyer candidly explains his short position on Walmart, analyzing its valuation concerns despite strong fundamentals. He also reflects on the role of luck in investing and offers insights on maintaining composure amid market volatility, providing valuable strategies for navigating the ever-changing landscape of shipping investments.
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Supply Chain Weakness Evident
- Current container ships arriving from Asia are roughly 40% empty, indicating slowing import demand.
- Trucking demand and rates are plummeting, suggesting upcoming economic pain in supply chain sectors.
Port Strike Averted but Automation Delayed
- A potential port strike was averted with a compromise, but automation at U.S. ports remains delayed.
- The current U.S. administration is unlikely to push port modernizations that would increase imports.
Container Ship Sector Under Threat
- Container ship liners face significant trouble if trade tariffs remain high or worsen.
- Even trade deals with close allies like the UK include tariffs, portending tougher deals with larger partners like China.