Circles Off - Sports Betting Podcasts

What Happens When A Professional Sports Bettor Start Losing? | Presented by Kalshi

Jan 14, 2026
Do professional sports bettors ever lose their edge? Insights reveal how they react when confidence wanes. One guest emphasizes the importance of self-reflection and adapting strategies in the face of losing streaks. Another discusses managing variance and avoiding chase behavior. The conversation dives into the necessity of questioning one’s betting methods and collaborating with peers, especially during tough times. With personal stories and expert advice, this episode explores the resilience required in the ever-evolving world of sports betting.
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INSIGHT

Constant Doubt Beats Complacent Confidence

  • Professional bettors constantly question their edge even when confident.
  • Overconfidence is common but can be dangerous in efficient, liquid markets.
INSIGHT

Edges Erode As Markets Improve

  • Markets grow more efficient over time, making edges shrink.
  • It's hard to know exactly when an edge has disappeared because reputation can sustain returns briefly.
INSIGHT

Stop Investing And Edges Disappear

  • Bettors may stop investing in model improvements when edges diminish.
  • That can turn a previously profitable market into break-even over time.
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