In Moscow's Shadows

In Moscow's Shadows 155: Putin's Shadow War on the West

Jul 13, 2024

The podcast discusses Russian covert operations in Europe, including targeting defense industrial complex figures and cyber disruptions. It explores the escalation in attacks, implications of alleged spy activities, cyber attacks in Poland, train derailments in Sweden, and the use of proxies like organized crime. The focus is on Putin's shadow war and strategies for response.

56:55

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Quick takeaways

Putin's covert operations in Europe now involve planned attacks on key figures supporting Ukraine, showcasing a shift in engagement strategies.

The Kremlin's use of proxies in covert operations suggests a tactical evolution towards indirect methods to avoid direct attribution and enhance operational reach.

Deep dives

Changing Tactics in Covert Operations

The Russians are intensifying covert operations across Europe. Recent events suggest a shift in their engagement strategies in the West, targeting key figures in the European defense industrial complex. This new approach includes planned attacks on individuals supporting Ukraine, indicating a departure from past targets like defectors and facilities with connections to Ukraine.

Distinguishing between enemies and traitors in Russian operations

01:07

Rising Cyber Attacks and Russia's Response

01:12

Intro

13min

Implications of Alleged Russian Spy Activities in Europe

8min

Russian-Linked Cyber Attacks and Disruptions in Europe

5min

Russian Covert Activities in Europe and Tactics in the Ukraine Conflict

13min

Understanding Russia's Adhocracy and Shadow War

19min

The claim that Russian intelligence planned to murder a German industrialist highlights the Kremlin's escalating campaign of mayhem and disruption in Europe, from arson to disruptive cyberattacks. Why is Putin -- who was initially rather more cautious -- now raising the stakes and, more to the point, what can we do about it?

The Meduza report from Buryatia I mentioned is here.

The podcast's corporate partner and sponsor is Conducttr, which provides software for innovative and immersive crisis exercises in hybrid warfare, counter-terrorism, civil affairs and similar situations.

You can also follow my blog, In Moscow's Shadows, and become one of the podcast's supporting Patrons and gain question-asking rights and access to exclusive extra materials right here.

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