The Memo by Howard Marks

Taking The Temperature

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Jul 10, 2023
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ANECDOTE

Five Accurate Calls

  • Howard Marks shared five past memos containing market calls during a reporter interview.
  • These calls, made over 20 years, proved accurate, reflecting key market turning points.
INSIGHT

Infrequent Calls, High Accuracy

  • Marks's son pointed out he made only five market calls in 50 years.
  • This highlighted that the calls were made during extreme market conditions, increasing their accuracy.
ANECDOTE

The TMT Bubble Call

  • In 1999, influenced by the book "Devil Take the Hindmost," Marks saw similarities between the TMT boom and historical bubbles.
  • His memo "bubble.com" warned of an overheated market.
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