The Bitcoin Layer BITCOIN CRASHES THROUGH $100,000 While Macro Volatility Surges & Trend Structure Weakens
12 snips
Nov 14, 2025 Bitcoin's recent drop below $100,000 revealed critical support levels and a negative liquidity indicator. The failure to hold at $108,000 suggests waning bullish momentum, while the tightness in the repo market signals broader systemic issues. Rising bond volatility is pressuring risk assets, showcasing a complex macro backdrop. Additionally, Treasury drawdowns may impact bank reserves, potentially calming market conditions. Insights into trend lines and liquidity dynamics provide a fascinating glimpse into Bitcoin's ongoing journey.
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Trend Lines Define Bull vs Bear
- The orange trend line (Aug 2024 low to Apr Liberation Day) sits near $96,500 and is the first key support to watch.
- Falling below the deeper green trend line (~$87,000) would likely signal the end of the current bull market.
Require Candle Confirmation
- Wait for consecutive daily closes above the orange trend line before calling it confirmed support.
- Treat a single hold as inconclusive and watch for follow-through or clear breakdowns.
108k Failure Removed Momentum
- Failure to hold $108,000 removed momentum and required a new catalyst to relaunch the bull market.
- The green trend line ties back to October 2023 and must hold to preserve the multi-year bull narrative.