Wall Street Breakfast

Japanese bonds are spooking the globe

10 snips
Dec 1, 2025
Japanese bond yields are spiking to heights not seen since 2008, raising concerns about the carry-trade and potential market instability. As investors react, Bitcoin takes a tumble, highlighting the risks of yen-funded carry trades unwinding. Meanwhile, Databricks is eyeing a whopping $134 billion valuation as it prepares to raise $5 billion, facing margin pressures from AI implementation. In political talk, Kevin Hassett is emerging as a strong candidate for the next Fed chair, according to prediction markets.
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INSIGHT

Surging JGB Yields Threaten Global Risk Appetite

  • Rapidly rising Japanese government bond yields reached levels not seen since 2008 and are affecting global markets.
  • Higher JGB yields could reverse yen-funded carry trades and force repatriation of capital, pressuring risk assets.
INSIGHT

BoJ Signal Drives Yield Repricing

  • Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda signaled a likely rate increase this month, lifting short- and medium-term JGB yields.
  • Rising domestic yields make Japanese institutions less inclined to buy overseas bonds, risking global capital flows reversal.
INSIGHT

Cross-Asset Ripples And Bearish Warning

  • Market moves showed immediate cross-asset effects: U.S. futures fell and Bitcoin dropped below $87,000.
  • Societe Generale strategist Albert Edwards warns this surge could be the biggest threat to global markets since post-crisis yield suppression.
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