FDD Morning Brief FDD Morning Brief | feat. BG (Res.) Prof. Jacob Nagel (Jun. 27)
Jun 27, 2025
In this session, Brigadier General (Res.) Professor Jacob Nagel, a senior fellow at FDD and former Israeli national security advisor, shares deep insights into the ongoing military conflict between Israel and Iran. Topics include the significant losses for Iran and their impact on regional stability. Nagel discusses the evaluation of Iran's nuclear ambitions, the complexities surrounding negotiations between Israel and Iran, and the hostage situation in Gaza, emphasizing the need for balance in international diplomacy.
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Israel's Major Damage on Iran Nuclear Sites
- Israel's attack caused significant damage to Iran's nuclear facilities at Natanz, KOM, and ISFAN, including underground sites.
- The damage to these widely spread nuclear sites represents a major setback to Iran's nuclear program.
Uncertainty Over Iran Uranium Location
- Iran's enriched uranium stockpile is significant, but exact locations are unclear, possibly in Hispa, Fordo, or moving in trucks.
- Despite concerns, the mere presence of enriched uranium does not immediately translate to a nuclear weapon threat.
Realistic Delays on Nuclear Program
- Setting back a nuclear program beyond five years is unrealistic, as starting from scratch generally takes four to five years.
- Claims of Iran's program being delayed 10 or 20 years are overstatements and lack technical credibility.