The podcast discusses the election night results, potential indictment of Donald Trump, changing political landscape, gender divide, abortion rights referendums, and impact of inflation on Biden. It also covers specific election races, Republican victories in Florida, legalization of psychedelics in Colorado, and the significance of ballot referendums.
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Quick takeaways
Abortion and inflation were key issues for voters in Pennsylvania, while candidate quality played a significant role in Arizona.
Stacey Abrams trailing in Georgia highlights the importance of focusing on local issues in elections.
Ron DeSantis' strong showing in Florida positions him as a potential leading GOP figure.
Polling accuracy remains a challenge, particularly in gauging support from non-college-educated white voters.
The level of college education is increasingly shaping voting patterns, with educated voters leaning towards Democrats.
Exercise caution when interpreting early results, as different states have varying methods and schedules for counting ballots.
Deep dives
Voters show divided priorities in Pennsylvania and Arizona
In Pennsylvania, abortion was a top issue for voters, while inflation also emerged as a concern. In Arizona, candidate quality played a significant role, with Kerry Lake being charismatic and popular among voters. Stacey Abrams is trailing behind in Georgia, highlighting the importance of focusing on local issues. Florida sees a strong showing for Ron DeSantis, potentially positioning him as a leading GOP figure for the future. Polling accuracy remains a challenge, particularly in gauging the support of non-college-educated whites. Overall, the dynamics of each state's election reflect a complex mix of candidate quality, local issues, and national party affiliation.
Dr. Oz voters prioritize national issues, while Federman voters focus on character
Supporters of Dr. Oz emphasized national issues such as inflation, crime, and immigration, while Federman voters placed greater importance on character and values. Surprisingly, the energy and enthusiasm for Federman's campaign was not as pronounced as expected in person. Additionally, the Bernie Sanders event in Pittsburgh attracted a smaller crowd than anticipated, suggesting a lack of energy compared to the Trump event. These observations underscore the significance of both national and local factors in shaping voter preferences.
Florida shows strong support for DeSantis
Recent election numbers in Florida indicate a strong showing for Ron DeSantis, with a potentially significant victory margin over his opponent. This notable performance may fuel speculation about DeSantis as a viable candidate in the 2024 election, even though winning Florida has typically been expected for Republican nominees.
Early results show potential outperformance for Democratic candidates in key states
Early results in New Hampshire, Georgia, and North Carolina suggest that Democratic candidates may be outperforming previous expectations. In New Hampshire, Senator Maggie Hassan is reportedly outperforming President Joe Biden's margin of victory. In Georgia, Senator Raphael Warnock is matching or exceeding President Biden's numbers. In North Carolina, Sherry Beasley has a sizable lead over her Republican opponent. These results, while still early and subject to change, could indicate positive outcomes for Democrats in these key states.
The significance of college education in election results
The level of college education is becoming increasingly important in shaping voting patterns. More college-educated voters are leaning towards the Democratic Party, while those without a college degree tend to lean Republican. This trend is evident in states like New Hampshire and Georgia, where Democratic candidates are outperforming previous expectations, primarily in areas with higher concentrations of college-educated voters.
Caution in interpreting early results and understanding regional differences in ballot counting
It is important to exercise caution when interpreting early results, as they may not be fully representative of the final outcome. Different states have various methods and schedules for counting ballots, which can lead to fluctuations in the reported results. For example, some states count mail-in ballots first, while others count them later. Additionally, regions with higher concentrations of college-educated voters may exhibit different voting patterns compared to regions with lower education levels.
Warnock and Kemp running even in Georgia
In the Georgia Senate race, Raphael Warnock and Brian Kemp are running even in terms of the number of votes they are getting, which is surprising.
Ticket splitting in Pennsylvania
There is ticket splitting happening in Pennsylvania with Jennifer Wexton outperforming John Fetterman.
Democrats holding on in Virginia
Democrats are likely to go two for three in Virginia, with only Elaine Luria losing her seat.
Democrats show enthusiasm in the midterm election
Democrats are showing high levels of enthusiasm in the midterm election, closing the voting enthusiasm gap with Republicans. This could be a major factor in why the election results are not as disastrous for Democrats as predicted.
Republican candidates outperform Trump in key races
Several Republican candidates are outperforming Donald Trump in key races, suggesting that his endorsement and influence may not be as strong as anticipated. This includes candidates in Pennsylvania and Virginia, where they are leading or holding on to seats that were considered competitive.
Gender referendum and abortion play a role
Abortion and a gender referendum have emerged as important factors in shaping the election results. Democrats have used these issues to energize their base and increase voter turnout. However, the impact of these issues varies across different districts and states.
Concerns over blame for inflation
Many people attribute inflation to factors such as corporate profits, supply chain issues, and geopolitical conflicts rather than directly blaming Joe Biden. This suggests that the attempt to pin inflation solely on Biden may not have been successful.
Disappointment for Republicans
Initial election results indicate that the Republican Party's hopes for a red wave or a Republican tsunami did not materialize. The expected momentum for the party did not result in significant victories, and races in key districts, such as Lauren Boebert's in Colorado, are more competitive than anticipated. Overall, the outcomes challenge the narrative of a major Republican resurgence.
Republicans focus on crime in ads, but economy and inflation are also key concerns
Republicans have spent $157 million on crime-related ads at the national level compared to $105 million on the economy and inflation. This disparity is even more pronounced in the Pennsylvania Senate race, where Republicans have spent nearly $12 million on crime ads compared to $2.5 million on the economy and inflation. However, voters are not solely focused on crime. They are also concerned about the state of the economy and rising inflation. This highlights the importance of addressing all key issues in political campaigns and not relying solely on one issue to resonate with voters.
New York governor race and potential rebuke to red wave prediction
In the New York governor race, Kathy Hochul is leading against Lee Zeldin by a narrow margin. This race was expected to be a potential pickup for Republicans in a red wave scenario, but it is currently a close race. If Hochul ends up winning, it would be a rebuke to the prediction of a red wave sweeping through the state. This demonstrates that electoral outcomes cannot be determined solely based on predictions and expectations, and that races can often be more competitive than anticipated. The results in New York highlight the need for a nuanced understanding of individual races and voter preferences.
Krystal and Saagar teamed up with friends of the show to bring together an amazing election night broadcast reacting in real time to the hectic midterm results. Bringing you all the full audio and link to the full stream on YouTube in case you missed it!
