Economist Podcasts
The Intelligence: Yes, Trump could win again
Nov 17, 2023
Idris Kalun, the Washington bureau chief for The Economist, and Duncan Weldon, a British writer for the publication, tackle the shifting political landscape as Donald Trump’s potential comeback looms. They explore Biden's struggles in battleground states and the surprising increase in support for Trump. The discussion also ventures into Basildon, a microcosm of national sentiment in Britain, and pays tribute to peace activist Vivian Silver, whose legacy adds depth to the ongoing discourse about conflict and resilience.
28:52
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Quick takeaways
- Recent polls indicate that if the presidential election were held today, Donald Trump would likely win due to Joe Biden's weak position and Trump's enduring strength.
- Voters tend to trust Donald Trump over Joe Biden on issues such as the economy, immigration, and the conflict in Gaza, posing challenges for the Democrats in terms of winning key voter groups and overall reelection.
Deep dives
Current poll suggests Trump would win if election were held today
According to recent polls, if the presidential election were held today, it is likely that Donald Trump would win. Despite his low popularity and the efforts of his Republican rivals to downplay his chances, polls show President Joe Biden trailing in key swing states such as Pennsylvania, Nevada, and Michigan. Working-class voters, who were expected to support Biden, are slipping away to the Republican side, as are minority voters. Although the situation could change in a year, Biden's weak position and Trump's enduring strength are causing concern for Democrats.
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