The fragile ceasefire between India and Pakistan follows a terror attack and reflects the deep-rooted historical tensions over Kashmir.
Long-term peace requires political dialogue and addressing Kashmir's autonomy and grievances, particularly after recent policy changes by India's government.
Deep dives
Ceasefire Agreement Between India and Pakistan
India and Pakistan have agreed to a ceasefire following a significant escalation of military action in the disputed Kashmir region. The agreement comes after a recent terrorist attack at a tourist resort, where gunmen targeted families, resulting in casualties and heightened tensions. The situation rapidly evolved into drone attacks and missile strikes, raising concerns of potential nuclear conflict between the two nations. While the ceasefire is welcomed, skepticism persists regarding its longevity due to the unresolved and deep-rooted issues surrounding Kashmir and cross-border terrorism.
Historical Context of Kashmir Conflict
The Kashmir conflict traces its roots back to the partition of British India in 1947, when princely states like Jammu and Kashmir were given the choice to join either India or Pakistan. The Maharaja of Kashmir sought independence but ultimately requested India's help during a tribal invasion, resulting in a treaty that promised a plebiscite to determine the region's future. Over the decades, political tensions intensified, amplified by India's decision to integrate Kashmir into its constitution while denying the promised plebiscite. This historical backdrop has fueled ongoing resentment and calls for autonomy among Kashmiris, particularly in light of the rise of armed resistance movements since 1987.
Impacts of Modi's Policies on Kashmir
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi's government has significantly altered the dynamics in Kashmir by removing its special status in 2019, aiming for full integration with India. The repeal of Articles 370 and 35A is justified by officials as a necessary step for economic development and stability, yet it has deepened alienation among the Kashmiri populace. Despite assertions of normalcy, evidence suggests a resurgence of militancy, indicating that discontent remains prevalent, supported by local populations. For long-term peace, it is crucial for Modi to engage in political dialogue with Pakistan and to restore autonomy and freedoms in Kashmir, addressing the underlying grievances of its residents.
But this isn’t the first time these two countries have been at odds.
Dr. Reeta Tremblay is the former provost at the University of Victoria and a political scientist and expert on the Kashmir region. She’s on the show today to give us insight into the decades-long fight between India and Pakistan, and what needs to happen in order for the two countries to have lasting peace.