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CIO Weekly Investment Outlook

U.S. Economy: Bending, but not breaking

Jul 22, 2024
Deepak Puri, Chief Investment Officer for the Americas, discusses the US economy's trajectory, potential rate cuts by the Fed, and the impact of political events on market volatility. He highlights the focus on big tech earnings growth and the importance of geopolitical considerations for investors.
11:06

Episode guests

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Quick takeaways

  • The US economy is bending, not breaking, indicating potential rate cuts by the Fed.
  • Market volatility is expected due to political events like the upcoming elections and potential policy changes.

Deep dives

US Economic Data and Fed Signals

The US economy is showing signs of a slight deceleration, which is viewed positively by the Fed for potential rate cuts. Inflation data, particularly the Supercore measurement, suggests a trend closer to the Fed's target for rate adjustments. The recent talks from the Fed indicate a high probability of a rate cut in the upcoming September meeting, with Chair Powell expressing confidence in inflation returning to its target.

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