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Peak Prosperity

Deflation and Market Volatility Dead Ahead

Feb 8, 2025
In a riveting discussion, Ed Dowd from Phinance Technologies, a macroeconomist and market analyst, dives into the housing market's changes and the impact of inflation and immigration on rent prices. He predicts a recession and a decrease in CPI by 2025, forecasting its effects on interest rates and investments. The conversation also touches on the safety of gold and silver amidst economic turbulence and examines Japan's unique challenges and their global repercussions. Dowd highlights technology's role in shaping future deflationary trends.
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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The U.S. housing market is experiencing a significant downturn, driven by high mortgage rates and rising inventory, leading to predictions of reduced housing prices by 2025.
  • Inflation is projected to decline unexpectedly in 2025, compelling the Federal Reserve to reassess monetary policies amid increasing credit risks and potential economic instability.

Deep dives

The Housing Market Struggles

The U.S. housing market is facing significant challenges, primarily due to increased mortgage rates and a surge in inventory, which spiked by 268% across major southern states like Florida and Texas. Despite a boom in construction and new home sales, there is a noticeable decline in pending sales and affordability, making renting more attractive than buying. As mortgage rates remain high, housing prices are expected to decrease, creating a deflationary environment by 2025. Additionally, the impact of immigration trends is evident, as changes in rent and tenant demographics may add further pressure to the already stagnant housing market.

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