The Inside Story Podcast

Can Trump’s offer to lift sanctions bring Turkiye and the US closer?

Sep 26, 2025
In this discussion, Alan Makovsky, a seasoned policy analyst, and Baran Koyolu, an expert in international relations, delve into the potential thaw in U.S.-Turkey relations. They explore Trump's proposal to lift sanctions on Turkey in exchange for halting Russian oil purchases. Topics include the intricate dynamics of leader-to-leader diplomacy between Trump and Erdogan, the economic implications for Turkey, and the broader geopolitical impacts on regional stability and energy security. Their insights reveal a complex interplay of interests shaping the future of these two nations.
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INSIGHT

Turkey Seen As Co-Equal In Region

  • The White House meeting signals that the US views Turkey as a co-equal regional actor in key issues like Syria.
  • Baran Koyolu expects leader-to-leader diplomacy between Trump and Erdogan to drive progress, though not instantly.
INSIGHT

Shared Strongman Governing Instincts

  • Both Trump and Erdogan share governing instincts that deprioritise democratic niceties according to Alan Makovsky.
  • Makovsky warns Erdogan holds stronger domestic control due to weakened Turkish institutions after long rule.
INSIGHT

US-Turkey Reset Strengthens Neighborhood

  • Direct US-Turkey dialogue can stabilise wider regions like the South Caucasus, says Ahmad Shahidov.
  • Shahidov argues alignment deters exploitation by Russia, Iran, or the EU and reduces regional fragility.
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