Morning Wire cover image

Morning Wire

Why Trump - Harris Polls Might be Misleading | 9.1.24

Sep 1, 2024
Brent Buchanan, founder and president of Signal Polling Group, analyzes the intricate landscape of the upcoming elections. He discusses how Robert Kennedy Jr.'s endorsement of Donald Trump could sway undecided voters. Buchanan sheds light on the electoral dynamics in key states like North Carolina and Georgia, highlighting polling inaccuracies. He examines Kamala Harris's rising numbers, contrasting them with Trump's legal challenges and their potential impact on voter sentiment. The conversation uncovers essential strategies in the battle for 270 electoral votes.
18:23

Episode guests

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Kamala Harris' polling struggles compared to Biden and Clinton highlight the challenges she faces in reaching necessary electoral margins.
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s endorsement of Trump could significantly sway disaffected voters in battleground states, impacting the election's outcome.

Deep dives

Challenges in Kamala Harris' Polling Performance

Kamala Harris’ current polling performance against Donald Trump raises concerns when compared to her predecessors, Biden and Clinton, at similar points in their campaigns. Despite some improvements, her numbers indicate that she is struggling to reach the positions that Biden and Clinton held in August leading up to their respective elections. Historical data reveals that Republicans tend to perform worse in August polls, suggesting caution in interpreting current results. The analysis shows that, while Harris may be performing better with certain demographics, she still falls short of the necessary margins to secure a win.

Get the Snipd
podcast app

Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
App store bannerPlay store banner

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode

Save any
moment

Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways

Share
& Export

Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode