The Intelligence: America’s deeply divided electorate
Apr 12, 2024
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Dan Rosenheck, data editor for The Economist, unveils insights into American voting preferences, exploring how demographics influence electoral outcomes. John Joe Devlin, deputy editor, highlights the harrowing experiences of Palestinians navigating the Rafah crossing amidst conflict. Catherine Nixie pays tribute to Rose Dugdale, a former heiress who transformed into an IRA bombmaker, reflecting on her complex life. Together, they delve into pressing issues like abortion rights, political climates, and the desperate search for safety in tumultuous times.
Predicting voter behavior using demographic characteristics, emphasizing the impact of religion on voting choices.
Challenges faced by Palestinians at Rafah crossing, including rising costs and reliance on fundraising efforts for border crossings.
Deep dives
Shifts in American Voter Preferences
The podcast delves into the shifts in American voter preferences leading up to the upcoming presidential election. It highlights the statistical modeling used to predict voter behavior based on demographic characteristics, emphasizing the impact of religion on voting choices. The discussion explores the sources of support for Donald Trump, including groups such as white voters without college degrees and white evangelical Christians.
Financial Barriers to Exiting Gaza
The episode sheds light on the challenges faced by Palestinians trying to leave Gaza and enter Egypt, particularly focusing on the rising costs associated with informal border crossings. It details the significant increase in prices for crossing into Egypt, making it financially unattainable for many Gazans. The narrative also touches upon the reliance on fundraising efforts to secure funds for border crossings, showcasing the financial hardships faced by families in the region.
Rose Dugdale: From Debutant to Terrorist
The podcast presents the intriguing life story of Rose Dugdale, from a debutant and Oxford scholar to a militant and terrorist. It narrates her transition into activism and involvement in heists for political motives. The episode highlights her unapologetic stance on her actions and her conviction in the causes she supported, portraying her as a complex and controversial figure.
We have combined polling data to make a detailed portrait of the American electorate. Have a tinker with our interactive model: plug in their age, sex, religion, and more, and let us estimate how your hypothetical voter will vote in the presidential election. Allegations of extortion at the Rafah crossing out of Gaza (09:57). And, a tribute to an heiress-turned-IRA bombmaker (20:17).