Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition Daybreak Holiday: Fed Independence, Market Outlook, Retail Breakdown
24 snips
Sep 1, 2025 
Lori Calvasina, Head of U.S. Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, shares her insights on stock market trends and investor sentiment as the year progresses. Burt Flickinger, Managing Director at Strategic Resource Group, discusses the retail landscape, highlighting the shift towards low-end retailers and new consumer behaviors in the back-to-school season. Both experts analyze the economic pressures faced by consumers and how these dynamics could influence market strategies moving forward.
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Labor Market Balance Is Fragile
- The labor market appears balanced but fragile, with weak hiring demand and uncertain supply.
- Small shifts in supply or demand could quickly tip the balance and amplify downside risks.
Demand Hesitation Is Driving Hiring Weakness
- Hiring demand looks hesitant as firms delay decisions amid trade and inflation uncertainty.
- Broad surveys and PMIs suggest demand weakness alongside concerns about future hiring.
Data Credibility Can Reduce Response Rates
- Public criticism of BLS credibility could lower survey response rates and worsen monthly volatility.
- Fewer responses amplify revisions and reduce confidence in headline payroll prints.