In today’s episode, Tom pulls back the curtain on the hard truths that shape our world, diving into the bloody history and cold calculations that drive geopolitics. Using the concept of “realpolitik” as his lens, Tom explores why nations act not according to ideals, but ruthless self-interest, and how this approach accurately predicts the cycles of conflict, power struggles, and shifting borders that have marked human history.
From Genghis Khan to today’s nuclear standoffs, Tom examines why humanity’s dual capacity for both devastating violence and breathtaking kindness continues to shape the fate of nations. You’ll learn the nine core tenets of realpolitik, see how power and survival instincts play out on the global stage, and discover why understanding the unvarnished reality of how nations operate is essential—not just for world leaders, but for anyone who wants to protect and thrive in today’s chaotic world.
But this isn’t just a journey through the darkness of history and politics. Tom also shows how culture, empathy, and pragmatism temper our most savage impulses, offering hope even amidst turmoil. By the end, you’ll have a clear-eyed framework for understanding global events, decoding market movements, and safeguarding your freedom in uncertain times.
Get ready to challenge your assumptions and build a worldview that actually works. This episode will change the way you see the world—and your role in it.
00:00 Intro
05:09 Understanding Realpolitik: Power Over Ideals
08:20 Realism: Survival in Global Anarchy
12:10 Realpolitik and Brutal History
15:54 Realpolitik and Historical Ruthlessness
18:45 "Truth Over Idealism"
22:57 "Group Bias from Random Assignment"
25:16 Dual Nature of Humanity
29:57 "Human Nature and Realpolitik"
30:44 "Burnham's Elite-Mass Division Insight"
34:35 NATO Expansion Provokes Russian Response
38:58 US-Iran Relations: Realist Perspective
40:02 U.S.-Iran Conflict: Power Over Ideology
45:47 Power, Freedom, and Realpolitik
46:46 "Predicting Politics Beyond Morality"
CHECK OUT OUR SPONSORS
Vital Proteins: Get 20% off by going to https://www.vitalproteins.com and entering promo code IMPACT at check out
Allio Capital: Macro investing for people who want to understand the big picture. Download their app in the App Store or at Google Play, or text my name “TOM” to 511511.
iTrust Capital: Use code IMPACTGO when you sign up and fund your account to get a $100 bonus at https://www.itrustcapital.com/tombilyeu
SleepMe: Visit https://sleep.me/impact to get your Chilipad and save 20% with code IMPACT. Try it risk-free with their 30-night sleep trial and free shipping.
Shopify: Sign up for your one-dollar-per-month trial period at https://shopify.com/impact
SKIMS: Shop SKIMS Mens at https://www.skims.com/impact #skimspartner
ButcherBox: Ready to level up your meals? Go to https://butcherbox.com/impact to get $20 off your first box and FREE bacon for life with the Bilyeu Box!
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory 
