
Game Changer - the game theory podcast
(Nuclear) Deterrence as a Game Theoretic concept | with Frank Zagare
Nov 20, 2023
Game Theory podcast features Frank Zagare, expert on deterrence and game theory. They discuss the shortcomings of classical deterrence modeling, introduce perfect deterrence theory, and explore its distinctions. They examine the fragility of bilateral strategic relationships, the breakdown of deterrence, and offer insights into the war in Ukraine.
15:17
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Quick takeaways
- Classical deterrence theory, based on the game of chicken, is inadequate for modeling deterrence dynamics.
- Perfect deterrence theory introduces a new perspective, emphasizing rationality and variable threat credibility.
Deep dives
The Concept of Deterrence in Game Theory
Deterrence is a universal phenomenon that is central to strategic interactions in various settings, including great power politics, family, workplace, marketplace, and domestic politics. The convergence of deterrence and game theory provides insights into decision making in strategic relationships. Classical deterrence theory, pioneered by scholars like Thomas Schelling, emerged in the post-World War II era, with a focus on nuclear deterrence during the Cold War. However, the traditional game of chicken, often used to model deterrence, has limitations and fails to capture the dynamics and stability observed during the Cold War.
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