The Peter Zeihan Podcast Series When the Missile Is the Message || Peter Zeihan
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Dec 2, 2024 The discussion dives into the strategic impact of Russia's recent missile attacks on Ukraine, particularly focusing on the advanced Orishnik missile. It reveals how these actions are reshaping military dynamics in Europe. European nations are shown to be rallying together, enhancing their defense strategies and bolstering Ukraine's military capabilities. The podcast highlights the unity among countries like Finland and Sweden in promoting security and driving a self-sufficient defense industry amidst ongoing tensions.
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Russia's Hollow Threats
- Russia considers Ukraine using weapons on Russian territory a red line.
- However, Russia's threats lack credibility due to the absence of meaningful dialogue and a clear deterrence doctrine.
Oreshnik Missile Launch
- Russia launched an Oreshnik missile, initially mistaken for an ICBM, from the Caspian Sea towards Ukraine.
- This intermediate-range missile violates the 1988 INF Treaty, demonstrating Russia's return to Cold War-era nuclear threats, especially towards Europe.
Russia's Divide and Conquer Strategy
- Russia's development and use of the Oreshnik missile isn't primarily aimed at the US.
- It targets Europe, aiming to divide NATO and reassert Russian military dominance by showcasing its nuclear capability.