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Morning Wire

Did We Dodge a Recession? Plus: Inflation, Housing & Consumer Spending | Saturday Extra

Oct 21, 2023
12:20
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Insights on the current economic environment, recession's impact on unemployment, inflation and housing market. Challenges faced by American buyers and sellers in the housing market and the impact of inflation on retail sales. Unexpected increase in spending and rise in credit card debt. The impact of the Middle East war on the economy, oil prices and stocks.
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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • A recession is expected to arrive in the near future, leading to spikes in unemployment and inflation, making it tougher for everyday Americans financially.
  • Inflation is starting to increase again, particularly for essential items such as food, energy, utilities, and healthcare, while the housing market may face a decline in prices as interest rates rise, leading to affordability issues for potential buyers.

Deep dives

Outlook for the Economy: Recession on the Horizon

According to Kenny Polkari, a managing partner of Case Capital Advisors, while the government has managed to delay a recession through stimulus measures, one is still expected to arrive either at the end of this year or early next year. This will lead to spikes in unemployment and inflation, making it tougher for everyday Americans financially. The increase in interest rates will also impact housing, with mortgage rates reaching 8% soon, causing housing prices to come down and making homeowners more realistic about their expectations.

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