18: Freely Elected Taiwan Is Critical for Technological Arsenals
Jan 31, 2024
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Riley Walters, Hudson Senior Fellow, discusses the recent elections in Taiwan and its importance in global technological supply chains. They highlight the implications of losing access to chips made in Taiwan and discuss the intersection of economics, technology, and national security. The significance of Taiwan in semiconductor manufacturing and efforts to increase semiconductor manufacturing independence are also explored.
Taiwan's leadership in chip and superconductor development positions it at the center of global technological supply chains, making it a critical player in the semiconductor industry.
Losing access to chips made in Taiwan would have severe consequences for the United States, highlighting the need to diversify supply chains and address challenges like labor costs and regulatory hurdles.
Deep dives
Significance of Losing Access to Taiwan-Made Chips
Losing access to chips made in Taiwan could have more severe consequences than the COVID-19 pandemic or the Great Recession of 2009. Estimates suggest that if the United States were to lose access to these chips, approximately 8% of its GDP would be at risk. This highlights the critical role Taiwan plays in the global semiconductor industry, as it is the leading producer of high-end semiconductors. Efforts to diversify supply chains and bring semiconductor production back to the United States are underway, but challenges such as labor costs and regulatory hurdles need to be addressed.
Taiwan's Election Results and Implications
The recent Taiwan election featured multiple perspectives and angles. Bonnie Glieser highlighted the importance of US-Taiwan relations and the need for bipartisan dialogue within the United States and Taiwan. Ryan Haas focused on cross-strait relations, noting that the election results could impact Beijing's ability to communicate with Taipei. Russell Shao examined the election's internal implications and factors such as party fatigue and changing sentiments. The election saw the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) retaining power with President-elect William Lai, but losing the majority in the legislative body. The main opposition party, Kuomintang (KMT), made gains. However, the Taiwan People's Party (TPP) may play a crucial role as a third-party intermediary.
Intersection of Economics, Technology, and National Security
The intersection of economics, technology, and national security in Taiwan holds significant relevance. Taiwan's role as a leader in semiconductor manufacturing has national security implications, especially due to the criticality of these chips in various industries. Efforts are underway to enhance domestic semiconductor production in the United States. Additionally, the Taiwan-US relationship plays a vital role in security and technology cooperation. National security concerns are also tied to the defense industrial base and ensuring production capacity to meet domestic and allied demand. The Hudson Institute provides resources on Taiwan, Japan, and the Quad Partnership for those interested in further exploration.
Hudson Senior Fellow Riley Walters joins Marshall Kosloff to recap the recent elections in Taiwan, which saw new coalitions forming inside the strategic island nation. Additionally, they discuss why Taiwan is, and will be, at the center of global technological supply chains for a long time thanks to its leadership in chip and superconductor development.
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