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The Daily Brief

Are India's GDP numbers giving us the real picture?

Dec 4, 2024
Explore the intriguing question of whether India's GDP numbers truly reflect reality, diving into the flaws in calculation methods and the impact of a new base year. The investigation into a ₹297 crore fraud linked to EV subsidies raises serious concerns about transparency and policy confusion. Plus, the podcast examines how U.S. restrictions are reshaping the global semiconductor landscape and India's emerging role in this vital industry. Tune in for insights on these critical economic topics!
17:34

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Quick takeaways

  • The upcoming update of India's GDP calculations to 2022 aims to provide a more accurate reflection of economic growth by addressing outdated assumptions.
  • Recent investigations into EV manufacturers reveal significant subsidy fraud, emphasizing the need for clearer regulations and stricter enforcement in the industry.

Deep dives

Revising GDP Calculations

The upcoming changes to the calculation of GDP numbers will involve updating the base year from 2011-12 to 2022, which is crucial for accurately reflecting economic growth. This shift aims to remove outdated assumptions that diminish the value of rapidly growing sectors, particularly services, by aligning calculations with the current economic landscape. The government has also addressed issues with other key statistics impacted by the base year change, including inflation and factory output. If these updates are implemented properly, they could provide policymakers and investors with a more accurate understanding of the economy, though concerns regarding the methodology and reliance on outdated data remain critical.

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