Intelligence Squared Going Nuclear: Could a Catastrophic Conflict Take Place? with Annie Jacobsen
Apr 10, 2024
Annie Jacobsen, an investigative journalist known for her gripping works on military and intelligence, dives into the world of nuclear warfare. She discusses her latest book, exploring potential scenarios of nuclear conflict and the historical ramifications of deterrence. The conversation delves into the psychological impact of nuclear narratives in media, particularly how past representations influence current politics and public perception. Jacobsen emphasizes the human element of deterrence, urging collective action and awareness to prevent catastrophe.
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Missile Detection Dilemma
- Ballistic missiles are designed to carry nuclear warheads in their nose cones and take about 30 minutes to travel intercontinentally.
- While missile launches are detectable, it's impossible to confirm a nuclear payload without a direct hit.
Interceptor Missile Limitations
- The US has only 44 interceptor missiles to counter thousands of potential nuclear warheads from adversaries.
- These interceptors have a low success rate, likened to "hitting a bullet with a bullet", due to technological limitations.
Reagan's Nuclear Realization
- In 1983, 100 million Americans, including President Reagan, watched the TV miniseries "The Day After", depicting a US-Soviet nuclear war.
- This led to Reagan initiating nuclear reduction talks with Gorbachev, resulting in a treaty that significantly decreased the global nuclear arsenal.
